2019 Belmont Stakes Predictions and Odds (Saturday, June 8)
Kelly Stewart: Welcome to WagerTalk TV. I am Kelly Stewart, @KellyinVegas on Twitter, joined by SIG, @SIGlasvegas, and Marco D'Angelo, @MarcoInVegas. Kelly Stewart: All right guys, 150st Belmont Stakes, let's hit the ground running. This is the third leg of the Triple Crown, but there's not going to be a Triple Crown winner. Lot's that can go into that. War of Will here is one of the favorites. Maybe he should be in the race for the Triple Crown, all the derby drama. That being said, SIG, do you think that War of Will wins the Belmont? SIG: I do not. I think it's a great horse. He had a fantastic Preakness. We'll never know what would have happened in the derby if he'd got to make his actual move. But I don't think he has the stamina, number one, to go the mile and a half. And number two, this is going to be his third race in five weeks. These horses are used to racing once a month, every four or five weeks. When it comes to Triple Crown season, he was in the mix, put himself down.
He raced all three races. I don't think he's going to have enough left in the tank at the end of this race to finish. Kelly Stewart: Marco, your thoughts? Marco: I agree a 100%. I'm a “no” on War of Will, and not only the part of the three races in five weeks, but he's the only horse in the field that has raced all three Triple Crown races. So he's definitely at a disadvantage there. I think that he'll be in the mix, but I think there's going to be a horse running him down in the stretch.
Kelly Stewart: Well, who's that horse going to be running him down in the stretch? We'll get to that later. But this morning's line, the favorite actually was Tacitus. Do you agree with him being the favorite? Marco: I do agree with him being the favorite. This is a horse that finished a good fourth in the Kentucky Derby. He is bred for this distance. Tacitus is a horse that comes out of the sire Tapit, which has had great success in the Belmont with siring offspring.
I like him here. This is a horse that'll be sitting a little bit off the pace, but he'll have War of Will right on his sights, and he will follow this horse around the track. I think he goes by him in the stretch. Kelly Stewart: All right. SIG, your thoughts on Tacitus? SIG: Actually, since the Derby, I've been telling people Tacitus was my Belmont horse. He had a great run in the Derby. Looked like wanted more at the end of the race.
He was the only one that basically maintained his position the entire race, in my opinion. SIG: I think that he has, number one, the stamina to make it. As Marco mentioned, he's a Tapit, which means he should have the distance in his breeding. I think he's going to just basically sit off the pace until it's time to make a move. As the other horses are turning down the stretch, Tacitus goes right by. Kelly Stewart: All right, Marco. You keep throwing out these little teasers. Who do you like in the Belmont? Marco: Well, I like Tacitus to win the race. Also going to look at a long shot. You know, War of Will's going to be in there. Don't throw him off your ticket, he's a- Kelly Stewart: So even though you don't think that he deserves to be one of the two favorites, you do think he could be in the mix? Marco: He deserves to be one of the two favorites, but I don't see him winning this race.
Another horse … And we all look about for prices, and I know Kelly, you love underdogs. The long shot here that I'm looking at is Sir Winston. This is a horse that just had a great last race, made a big move in that race. I look for him with the addition of Joel Rosario, really stepped this horse up in his last win. He is the only horse in this field that has a triple digit buyer figure. He earned out in his last race, a 100 buyer figure. The big thing for him, Sir Winston, why I like him as the long shot, is he is a horse that already raced on this track. Marco: This is a tricky track to race at, the Belmont, with its mile and a half configuration of the track. He ran perfectly in that, a perfectly timed drive. And Rosario's a guy that's very familiar with Belmont and when to make those moves.
I like him here in this one. Big advantage already racing over the track in his last start to Peter Pan. Kelly Stewart: I know you like a couple of contenders. Can you give me one more that you like? Marco: Yeah, I also like with him, Master Fencer, number 3, is a horse that I like in this race as well. After that, we will be looking for couple other long shots on the end of the ticket. But my top three horses that I'm going to hit are Tacitus, War of Will, Sir Winston. Kelly Stewart: All right, SIG. Your turn. Let's talk about who else you like outside of the two favorites in the Belmont. SIG: Okay, Intrepid Heart, a lightly raced colt from the Todd Pletcher barn. He's coming into this, this will only be his fourth career start. His last start was in the Peter Pan … I'm sorry. Marco: Yeah, it was the Peter pan. SIG: He finished third in that race, but it's the first time he's faced competition. Todd Pletcher has the ability to get these horses ready for the Belmont, as his past success has shown.
I think this is a horse to watch out for. Kelly Stewart: All right, any other contenders you're looking at for this race? SIG: The other one is probably Tax. It's a New York bred. It's raced six career races. Finished in the in the five, in the top of the five those times. He had a very poor Kentucky Derby, but I think that was a result of the sloppy track. Kelly Stewart: All right, Marco gave me his top five: 10, 7, 5, and 3. I need your top four horses in this race. SIG: I have Tacitus on top, with War of Will, Intrepid Heart and Tax under. But beware of Master Fencer as got me last year in the Belmont. Kelly Stewart: Ooh, two guys both like Master Fencer. All right, great stuff from both guys. Make sure you follow WagerTalk on Twitter, @WagerTalk. Let us know some more topics you want to hear on future videos, and make sure you comment below.
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